6
Venture On
7yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 60
Thistledown · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-10 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-11 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 8
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 10/10/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 30/10/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 11/11/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 10/12/2025 | 6th | 6/4 | 92% | 0% | -0.92 |
| 09/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 23/06/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 14/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |