5
Angel I'm Not
4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 60
Thistledown · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
86%
Place Prob
59%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-05 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-22 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-08 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength47%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 08/10/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 27/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 82% | +0.06 |
| 08/12/2025 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 63% | -0.28 |
| 22/12/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 05/01/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 09/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 01/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 14/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |