4
Bionic Saint
4yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 36
Thistledown · Race 6 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-04-21 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-04-03 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02/2025 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 06/03/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 80% | -0.12 |
| 20/03/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 03/04/2025 | 2nd | 4/7 | 97% | 67% | -0.30 |
| 21/04/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 26/05/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 15/06/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 01/07/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 20/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |