3
Hidden Details
3yo Filly · 8-3 · OR 57
Thistledown · Race 6 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
13/8
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-19 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-10 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-08-25 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 44% | -0.19 |
| 10/09/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 19/02/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |