5
Mor Stormy
4yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 73
Thistledown · Race 7 - Allowance · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-02 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-06 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-15 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength53%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 04/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 28/08/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 15/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 06/10/2025 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 27/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 13/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 02/01/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 22/01/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 14% | -0.65 |