7
Runaway Power
4yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 70
Thistledown · Race 7 - Allowance · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-20 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-12 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-28 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-07 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-07-14 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength91%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 30/04/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 24/06/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 14/07/2025 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 80% | -0.15 |
| 07/08/2025 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 28/08/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 12/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 20/10/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |
| 03/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |