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Truth N Soul

4yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 46

Thistledown · Race 7 - Allowance · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Thistledown 06/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 41 · 5f110y 119 · beat its mark06/10/2025 · OR 41 par6/10C6OR 41C6 @ Mahoning Valley 23/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 41 · 6f 123 · beat its mark23/10/2025 · OR 41 parC6 @ Mahoning Valley 07/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 43 · 1m 124 · beat its mark07/11/2025 · OR 43 par7/11C6OR 43C5 @ Mahoning Valley 20/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 53 · 1m Slo 123 · beat its mark20/12/2025 · OR 53 parC5 @ Mahoning Valley 22/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 48 · 6f Slo 124 · beat its mark22/01/2026 · OR 48 par22/01C5OR 48C5 @ Mahoning Valley 04/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 52 · 6f Slo 124 · beat its mark04/02/2026 · OR 52 parC5 @ Mahoning Valley 10/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 55 · 6f 124 · beat its mark10/03/2026 · OR 55 par10/03C5OR 55C5 @ Mahoning Valley 25/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 62 · 1m Fas 124 · below its mark25/03/2026 · OR 62 parC5 @ Mahoning Valley 09/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 54 · 6f 124 · beat its mark09/04/2026 · OR 54 par9/04C5OR 54projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-09Mahoning Valley?6th6th0
2026-03-25Mahoning Valley?6th6th0
2026-03-10Mahoning Valley?4th4th0
2026-02-04Mahoning Valley?6th6th0
2026-01-22Mahoning Valley?4th4th0
2025-12-20Mahoning Valley?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/1020/1210/039/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/10/20252nd10/147%83%+0.36
23/10/20253rd10/382%75%-0.07
07/11/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
20/12/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
22/01/20264th14/126%57%+0.31
04/02/20266th14/126%0%-0.26
10/03/20264th7/163%0%-0.63
25/03/20266th10/147%0%-0.47
09/04/20266th16/116%0%-0.16