Game Performer
3yo Gelding · 8-3 · OR 70
Thistledown · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-04-10 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-03-27 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 26/09/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 11/11/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 27/03/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 10/04/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 22/04/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 09/06/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 21/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |