10
Go Jack Go
3yo Colt · 8-3 · OR 79
Thistledown · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-03-14 | Turfway Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-01-17 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-12-19 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 10
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength67%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 14/09/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/10/2025 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 27% | -0.52 |
| 19/12/2025 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 90% | -0.03 |
| 17/01/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 38% | -0.28 |
| 27/02/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 14/03/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 27/03/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 03/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |