Lookin Like Lucky
4yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 63
Thistledown · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-24 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-05-20 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-05-07 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-04-08 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 11/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 27/03/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 08/04/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 07/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 20/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 03/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 24/06/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 28/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |