1
Luminous Warrior
4yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 55
Yarmouth · Gold & Silver Exchange Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 6f 3y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/6
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#3
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Yarmouth | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Yarmouth | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Redcar | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Kempton | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Doncaster | 5 | 22th | 21th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/12/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 29/01/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 25/02/2026 | 12th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 29/03/2026 | 22nd | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 06/05/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 45% | -0.18 |
| 01/06/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 30% | -0.07 |
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 55% | -0.17 |
| 02/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |