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Shades Of May

6yo Gelding · 11-1 · OR 54

Yarmouth · Gold & Silver Exchange Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 6f 3y

#1

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

40%

Place Prob

35%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Three all-weather wins between February and April. Made a good return from a break when close third of 10 at Salisbury (7f, good) 15 days ago. Should go well again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength47%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Chelmsford City 21/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 45 · 7f Sta 126 · beat its mark21/08/2025 · OR 45 par21/086OR 456 @ Lingfield 08/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 45 · 1m1y Std 126 · beat its mark08/12/2025 · OR 45 par6 @ Chelmsford City 08/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 45 · 1m2f Std 126 · beat its mark08/01/2026 · OR 45 par8/016OR 456 @ Chelmsford City 12/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 45 · 1m Std 126 · beat its mark12/02/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Chelmsford City 21/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 48 · 1m Std 128 · beat its mark21/02/2026 · OR 48 par21/026OR 486 @ Chelmsford City 26/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 47 · 7f Std 117 · beat its mark26/03/2026 · OR 47 par6 @ Southwell 11/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 51 · 7f14y Std 132 · beat its mark11/04/2026 · OR 51 par11/046OR 516 @ Southwell 07/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 54 · 7f14y Std 134 · beat its mark07/05/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Salisbury 21/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 54 · 6f213y Goo 155 · beat its mark21/07/2026 · OR 54 par21/076OR 54projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-21Salisbury63rd3rd0
2026-05-07Southwell68th8th0
2026-04-11Southwell61st1st0
2026-03-26Chelmsford City61st1st0
2026-02-21Chelmsford City64th4th0
2026-02-12Chelmsford City61st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0812/0211/0421/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength46%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/08/20255th12/137%50%+0.13
08/12/20259th80/10%11%+0.11
08/01/20268th40/10%13%+0.13
12/02/20261st33/10%100%+1.00
21/02/20264th14/126%57%+0.31
26/03/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
11/04/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
07/05/20268th5/287%22%-0.65
21/07/20263rd16/116%78%+0.62