4
So Grateful
8yo Gelding · 10-10 · OR 49
Yarmouth · Gold & Silver Exchange Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 6f 3y
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
53%
Place Prob
41%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Thirsk | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Beverley | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Ayr | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Pontefract | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Beverley | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-08-17 | Southwell | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/2025 | 9th | 18/5 | 81% | 11% | -0.70 |
| 07/07/2025 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 23/07/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/08/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 45% | -0.18 |
| 27/05/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/06/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 89% | +0.23 |
| 24/07/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |