1

Ava Louise

2yo Filly · 9-2

Yarmouth · British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f 3y

#9

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Timeform

Commentary

Well held both starts and looks more one for nurseries after this.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Brighton 22/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 5f60y Goo 12822/0645 @ Beverley 28/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 5f Goo 12828/075projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-28Beverley58th9th1
2026-06-22Brighton45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0628/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength83%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/06/20265th33/10%0%0.00
28/07/20268th40/10%42%+0.42