IvyArcIvyArc
2

Babzini

2yo Filly · 9-2

Yarmouth · British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f 3y

#3

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed plenty of ability when third in a Salisbury novice (5f) in May and produced another fair effort despite not handling the track when sixth of 8 at Goodwood (5f) later that month. Given a break since and she remains open to improvement with this increase in trip rating a plus.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength12%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Salisbury 03/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 5f GF 123 · HIGHER CLASS3/0524 @ Goodwood 22/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 5f Goo 12822/054projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-22Goodwood46th6th0
2026-05-03Salisbury23rd1st+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0522/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/05/20263rd18/15%60%+0.55
22/05/20266th11/271%29%-0.42