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5

Dowman

2yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 73

Yarmouth · Strawberry Fields Stud Nursery · 5f 42y

#2

Rank

Odds

11/10

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Runner-up at Bath on his first 2 starts and made no mistake at Windsor (5f, good to firm) with a tongue tie added (retained) at the beginning of June. Off since ahead of this nursery debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 1.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Bath 05/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 5f10y Goo 1335/0445 @ Bath 29/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 5f160y Fm 13329/0455 @ Windsor 01/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 5f21y GF 1301/065projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-01Windsor51st2nd−1
2026-04-29Bath52nd3rd−1
2026-04-05Bath42nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0429/041/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 5
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength90%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/04/20262nd5/174%89%+0.15
29/04/20262nd5/493%89%-0.05
01/06/20261st11/1094%100%+0.06