1
Dubai Charm
2yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 82
Yarmouth · Strawberry Fields Stud Nursery · 5f 42y
#1
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
99%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.4
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Yarmouth | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 20th | 16th | +3 |
| 2026-05-13 | Yarmouth | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Nottingham | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength68%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 13/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 71% | -0.19 |
| 19/06/2026 | 20th | 125/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 08/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |