3
Wait Geordie
2yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 77
Yarmouth · Strawberry Fields Stud Nursery · 5f 42y
#4
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength72%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Newbury | 2 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-07-02 | Nottingham | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Beverley | 2 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-05-06 | Chester | 2 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-04-05 | Bath | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 5
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength4%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 06/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/5 | 93% | 67% | -0.26 |
| 30/05/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 13% | +0.07 |
| 02/07/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 18/07/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |