1

Liberate

3yo Colt · 9-7

Yarmouth · Origin Amenity Solutions Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 1m 2f 23y

#1

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

25%

Place Prob

34%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Promising individual. 16/1, third of 7 in novice at Ffos Las (1¼m, good) 36 days ago. Likely to improve again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Lingfield 06/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f Sft 1296/0644 @ Ffos Las 30/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m2f Goo 13030/064projClass-projected finish: 1st of 2
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-30Ffos Las43rd3rd0
2026-06-06Lingfield44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0630/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength97%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/06/20264th12/137%57%+0.20
30/06/20263rd16/116%67%+0.51