7
Cloudy Rose
8yo Mare · 9-1 · OR 47
Yarmouth · Brandfords Restaurant & Bars Handicap · 1m 6f 17y
#5
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Pontefract | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Yarmouth | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Bath | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Beverley | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Pontefract | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-10-01 | Catterick | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength43%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 01/08/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 63% | -0.14 |
| 31/08/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 01/10/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 07/04/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 04/05/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 22/05/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 56% | -0.10 |
| 10/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 07/07/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 30% | -0.41 |