Le Rouge Chinois
6yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 55
Yarmouth · Brandfords Restaurant & Bars Handicap · 1m 6f 17y
#3
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-23 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-03-25 | Pornichet | 4 | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-02-18 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 8th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-01-24 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 12th | 8th | +3 |
| 2025-11-29 | Pornichet | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 31/10/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 82% | +0.13 |
| 18/11/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/11/2025 | 7th | 2/1 | 89% | 40% | -0.49 |
| 24/01/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 18/02/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 25/03/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 13/04/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 22% | -0.20 |
| 23/04/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |