5
Regally Blonde
7yo Mare · 9-3 · OR 49
Yarmouth · Brandfords Restaurant & Bars Handicap · 1m 6f 17y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength72%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Nottingham | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Nottingham | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Windsor | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Lingfield | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Lingfield | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-02 | Nottingham | 2 | 7th | 2nd | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength59%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 26/08/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 12/09/2025 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 18% | -0.29 |
| 02/10/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/04/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 18/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 56% | +0.08 |
| 01/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 04/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 17/07/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |