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Banana

7yo Mare · 9-9 · OR 50

Yarmouth · Bet Central Classified Stakes · 5f 42y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

98%

Place Prob

84%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won at Bath and Chepstow (5f) last season and she ran well on the back of 8 months off when second in classified company at latter-named venue 33 days ago. A repeat gives her definite claims for all she's an infrequent winner overall.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength54%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Bath 01/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 54 · 5f160y Goo 124 · beat its mark01/08/2025 · OR 54 par1/086OR 546 @ Bath 16/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 53 · 5f160y Fm 128 · beat its mark16/08/2025 · OR 53 par6 @ Wolverhampton 02/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 52 · 5f21y Std 128 · beat its mark02/09/2025 · OR 52 par2/096OR 522 @ Bath 14/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 51 · 5f160y Hvy 114 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/09/2025 · OR 51 par6 @ Wolverhampton 22/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 51 · 6f20y Std 134 · beat its mark22/09/2025 · OR 51 par22/096OR 516 @ Wolverhampton 04/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 50 · 5f21y Std 121 · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 50 par6 @ Wolverhampton 11/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 48 · 5f21y Std 123 · beat its mark11/10/2025 · OR 48 par11/106OR 486 @ Bath 30/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 50 · 5f10y Hvy 122 · beat its mark30/10/2025 · OR 50 par6 @ Chepstow 03/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 50 · 5f16y Goo 135 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 50 par3/076OR 50projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-03Chepstow62nd2nd0
2025-10-30Bath610th10th0
2025-10-11Wolverhampton62nd2nd0
2025-10-04Wolverhampton64th4th0
2025-09-22Wolverhampton610th10th0
2025-09-14Bath25th0th+4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0814/0911/103/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength92%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/08/20253rd8/158%67%+0.09
16/08/20254th11/486%25%-0.61
02/09/20258th18/15%22%+0.17
14/09/20255th12/137%60%+0.23
22/09/202510th10/147%18%-0.29
04/10/20254th18/15%40%+0.35
11/10/20252nd7/282%89%+0.07
30/10/202510th14/126%10%-0.16
03/07/20262nd5/287%86%-0.01