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3

Charging Bull

4yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 50

Yarmouth · Bet Central Classified Stakes · 5f 42y

#3

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Went close at Nottingham (5f, soft) in June and dispelled a lesser effort with a hood quickly refitted when plugging on fourth over 6f here 13 days ago. Tricky sort who remains a maiden but booking of Marquand an obvious plus.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Kempton 02/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 59 · 6f Sta 130 · below its mark02/03/2026 · OR 59 par2/036OR 596 @ Wolverhampton 23/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 55 · 6f20y Std 135 · beat its mark23/03/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Wolverhampton 09/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 52 · 5f21y Std 133 · beat its mark09/04/2026 · OR 52 par9/046OR 526 @ Lingfield 20/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 53 · 5f6y Std 123 · below its mark20/04/2026 · OR 53 par6 @ Nottingham 19/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 52 · 5f8y Goo 132 · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 52 par19/056OR 526 @ Wolverhampton 01/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 50 · 5f21y Std 135 · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Nottingham 11/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 50 · 5f8y Sft 126 · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 50 par11/066OR 506 @ Lingfield 18/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 52 · 6f Goo 135 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 52 par6 @ Yarmouth 23/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 52 · 6f3y GF 129 · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 52 par23/076OR 52projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Yarmouth64th4th0
2026-06-18Lingfield66th6th0
2026-06-11Nottingham62nd2nd0
2026-06-01Wolverhampton66th6th0
2026-05-19Nottingham63rd3rd0
2026-04-20Lingfield68th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0320/0411/0623/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength47%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/03/202610th50/10%10%+0.10
23/03/20267th28/10%25%+0.25
09/04/20262nd25/10%88%+0.88
20/04/20268th14/126%0%-0.26
19/05/20263rd33/10%83%+0.83
01/06/20266th11/142%50%+0.08
11/06/20262nd18/15%80%+0.75
18/06/20266th10/382%38%-0.45
23/07/20264th12/137%50%+0.13