4
Chiedozie
5yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 42
Yarmouth · Bet Central Classified Stakes · 5f 42y
#7
Rank
Odds
400/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Newmarket | 5 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-07-06 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Bath | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Kempton | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-01-18 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength2%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/12/2024 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 07/01/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 11/01/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 18/01/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 04/03/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 30/03/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 05/06/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/07/2026 | 9th | 125/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/07/2026 | 10th | 400/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |