7
Pure Passion
3yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 50
Yarmouth · Bet Central Classified Stakes · 5f 42y
#2
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength79%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Southwell | 4 | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2026-01-30 | Southwell | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-01-02 | Chelmsford City | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/01/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 30/01/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 23/07/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |