8
Shining Guest
3yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 49
Yarmouth · Bet Central Classified Stakes · 5f 42y
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼2
Strength62%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Yarmouth | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Yarmouth | 4 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-07-25 | Ascot | 3 | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-07-03 | Yarmouth | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength12%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 25/07/2025 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/04/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |