6
Originality
3yo Colt · 8-11 · Draw 6 · OR 88
Belmont Park · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
13/8
Win Prob
49%
Place Prob
40%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Belmont Park | Javier Castellano | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Saratoga | Javier Castellano | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 3-3 · tight 71/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength47%
Delivery trend -34.0% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 88% | +0.24 |
| 02/10/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 82% | -0.10 |