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18:30 · Dundalk

BAR 1 Betting 'Bet 10 Get 50' Handicap

6fStandard3YO plusPOLYTRACKHandicap8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
9
OR 78
4/1
Mehman silks

Maureen Hehir

Mehman

7yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 8

Mehmas - Mitre Peak (Shamardal)

Chris Hayes10%0/6P J F Murphy60%Synergy 18
057351
7.0
Going 84Course 84
Blinkers

Dropped down the weights and ended lengthy losing run when taking 14-runner handicap at this course (7f) 7 days ago. Raised 9 lb since but must be of interest.

Class Advantage

28/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par28/0718/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/08 · mark par9/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below9/09 · mark par25/09 · C7 · finish vs mark above25/09 · mark par9/10 · C7 · finish vs mark below9/10 · mark par23/10 · C7 · finish vs mark above23/10 · mark par23/10projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 84Course · 84Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 14%28/07Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 69%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 71%9/09Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 69%9/10Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%23/10
Projected finish1st of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength93%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-564/100
7
OR 80
15/2
Eddie G silks

Taceec Syndicate

Eddie G

5yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 6

Kuroshio - Leitra Lady (Azamour)

Gavin Ryan10%A McGuinnessSynergy 22
185320
5.0
Going 0Course 0
Tongue strap

Dual 7f handicap scorer at Naas and Galway in July and ran his best race since when close second in handicap at the Curragh (7f, good to soft, 11/1) last month. Drops back in trip here and can't be ruled out.

Class Advantage

28/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par28/0731/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par8/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par22/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/09 · mark par26/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/09 · mark par18/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/10 · mark par18/10projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 0Course · 0Dist: 6f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%28/07Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 33%8/09Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 89%26/09Pos 15 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 7%18/10
Projected finish2nd of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
86%1-832/100
8
OR 80
11/2
All The Girls silks

Elaine Shevlin & Cormac Farrell & Ms Denise McCourt

All The Girls

3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 1

Sands Of Mali - Backstreet Girl (Shamardal)

Reese Holohan10%−5lbT G McCourt80%Synergy 14
382547
4.0
Going 66Course 66
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Winless this season but posted an excellent second over C&D in August and ran to similar level when fourth at this course earlier this month. Below par at the Curragh since but better expected back here. Tongue strap on first time.

Class Advantage

26/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/05 · mark par26/0512/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par15/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par9/09 · C7 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par2/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/10 · mark par20/10 · C7 · finish vs mark below20/10 · mark par20/10projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 66Course · 66Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 82%26/05Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 91%15/08Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 81%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 25%2/10Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 63%20/10
Projected finish3rd of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
71%1-655/100
4
OR 84
4/1
Chicago Call silks

Samuel M Mencoff & Anthony Paul Smurfit

Chicago Call

3yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 4

Oasis Dream - Pronouncement (Declaration Of War)

Patrick McGettigan10%−5lbJ P MurtaghSynergy 43
567804
3.0
Going 57Course 57

Useful as a juvenile and bounced back to best form when good fourth of 8 in minor event at this course (5f) 28 days ago, never nearer. Respected.

Class Advantage

4/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above4/04 · mark par4/0425/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par17/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par24/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par9/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below9/08 · mark par2/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/10 · mark par2/10projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 57Course · 57Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 56%4/04Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 14%17/05Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 9%9/08Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 57%2/10
Projected finish4th of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
57%1-472/100
2
Top Pick
OR 88
7/1
Bear On The Run silks

Kildare Racing Syndicate/Kilmichael Racing Syndicate

Bear On The Run

3yo Filly · 9-3 · Draw 5

Kodi Bear - Alice Thornton (Hurricane Run)

Gary Carroll10%Daniel Murphy60%Synergy 36
51165
5.0
Going 50Course 50

Shrugged off a 12-month absence to double her tally in 6f handicap at the Curragh in August. Below that level since but wasn't seen to best effect over longer trip here latest and remains with few miles on the clock.

Class Advantage

5/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/0515/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a22/08 · C9 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par24/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above24/09 · mark par2/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below2/10 · mark par2/10projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50Course · 50Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 69%5/05Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%15/08Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%22/08Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 44%24/09Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 0%2/10
Projected finish5th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
43%3-852/100
6
Market Fav
OR 81
11/4
City House silks

Dooley Thoroughbreds

City House

5yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 2

Night Of Thunder - Impala (Oasis Dream)

Rory Mulligan10%−5lbA McGuinness70%Synergy 33
072586
3.0
Going 55Course 55
Tongue strap1st Visor +2

Remains with just the sole success but has at least run some good races in defeat this year, whilst gradually dropping in the weights. Drop back in trip not sure to suit, however. Visor on first time.

Class Advantage

18/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par18/072/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par19/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below19/09 · mark par26/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below26/09 · mark par10/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below10/10 · mark par16/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/10 · mark par16/10projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 55Course · 55Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 11 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 47%18/07Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 54%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 86%19/09Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 22%10/10Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 55%16/10
Projected finish6th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
29%3-672/100
5
OR 83
40/1
Frescobaldi silks

N W T Dalzell & R P Behan & Mrs John Murphy

Frescobaldi

3yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 7

No Nay Never - Kodiva (Kodiac)

James Ryan10%0/1Daniel Murphy90%Synergy 21
350600
3.0
Going 40Course 40
1st Blinkers +3

Won Convivial maiden at York (7f) last summer for Aidan O'Brien but has rather lost his way for current yard. Now tried in blinkers for first time.

Class Advantage

10/10 · C1 · finish vs mark above10/10 · mark par10/1025/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par16/05 · C1 · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par4/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par26/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below26/09 · mark par16/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below16/10 · mark par16/10projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 40Course · 40Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 71%10/10Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%16/05Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 16 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 21%26/09Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 9%16/10
Projected finish7th of 8
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength3%
ExpectedActualTrend
14%5-872/100
3
OR 87
12/1
Thunderbear silks

Liam Ferguson/Simon Murphy/Park Ave Syndicate/Yorkavenue Syndicate

Thunderbear

6yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 3

Kodi Bear - Speronella (Raven's Pass)

Jack Kearney10%0/4Stephen Thorne70%Synergy 25
600358
2.0
Going 0Course 0
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Solid efforts in handicap company last month but underlined his inconsistency when well beaten in listed race (9/2) at Naas since. Others more convincing.

Class Advantage

4/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above4/04 · mark par4/0427/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above27/04 · mark par20/06 · C2 · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par5/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par13/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below13/09 · mark par10/10 · C1 · finish vs mark above10/10 · mark par10/10projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 0Course · 0Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 44%4/04Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 23 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 23 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 15%20/06Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 71%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 83%13/09Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 13%10/10
Projected finish8th of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength44%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%2-845/100