15:00 · Wetherby

Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Wensleydale Juvenile Hurdle (Listed) (GBB Race)

2mGood (Good to Firm in places)Class 13YO onlyTURF8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Top Pick
OR 115
4/1
Vietnorm silks

Keatley Racing Owners Group

3yo Gelding · 11-0

Kessaar - Seafaring (Born To Sea)

Oakley Brown20%1/1A KeatleySynergy 71
12R1
7.0
Going 83Course 0

Decisively completed a cross-code hat-trick when successful on hurdling debut at Market Rasen in June. Mitigation for a couple of defeats prior to a much-improved win over Moment Of Light on return to Market Rasen last time. In the right hands to keep improving and has to be high on the shortlist.

Class Advantage

8/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par8/0530/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par12/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par26/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a26/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above26/09 · mark par26/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲4
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in places) · 83Course · 0Dist: 2m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%8/05Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%12/06Pos 5 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 5 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 43%Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 88%26/07Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%26/09
Projected finish1st of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-655/100
5
Value
12/1
Sacre Chef silks

Mr Colm Donlon

3yo Gelding · 11-0

Karaktar - Tazkar (Authorized)

Harry Skelton0/1D Skelton60%Synergy 90
3
7.0
Going 0Course 0

Successful sole start on Flat in France. Showed plenty to work on (took strong hold) when 15½ lengths third behind Pass The Buck/lesser-fancied stablemate at Chepstow (2m, soft) on hurdling debut/return. Should last longer this time and very much unexposed on second start for a powerful yard.

Class Advantage

10/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a10/10
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲3
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in places) · 0Course · 0Dist: 2m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 80%10/10
Projected finish2nd of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
86%1-650/100
1
11/4
Charles Darnay silks

The Gredley Family

3yo Gelding · 11-0

Planteur - Madame Defarge (Motivator)

J J Burke20%James OwenSynergy 67
No form5.0
Going 67Course 0

Progressive 3-y-o. Shaped encouragingly on hat-trick bid/return (following a breathing operation) when fairly useful third in a solid Newmarket handicap (1½m) latest. Interesting hurdling debutant for connections who won 2024 renewal with very similar type in Liam Swagger.

Class Advantage

17/01 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a17/017/02 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a2/03 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a1/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par24/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/09 · mark par24/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲3
Strength5%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in places) · 67Course · 0

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 33%17/01Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 82%7/02Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%2/03Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%1/06Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%24/09
Projected finish3rd of 8
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
71%2-567/100
3
Market Fav
15/8
Minella Rockett silks

Mr John Nallen

3yo Gelding · 11-0

New Bay - Ebalista (Selkirk)

Daniel King10%1/1J NallenSynergy 46
1
5.0
Going 93Course 0

Interesting Irish raider who knew his job when successful on hurdling debut at Limerick (2m) in July. Progressed to make it a cross-code hat-trick at Naas the following month and useful form in defeat on the Flat more recently. Better to come back hurdling and may well make it 2-2 in this sphere.

Class Advantage

26/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/05 · mark par26/052/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par23/08 · C9 · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par15/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below15/09 · mark par12/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below12/10 · mark par12/10projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲8
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in places) · 93Course · 0Dist: 2m · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 56%26/05Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%29/07Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 80%15/09Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 25%12/10
Projected finish4th of 8
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
57%1-655/100
8
OR 105
18/1
Wicksey silks

Middleham Park Racing & Phillip Byrne

3yo Gelding · 11-0

Expert Eye - Dusty Red (Teofilo)

R P McLernon10%2/2B HaslamSynergy 51
11
7.0
Going 38Course 0

Fair 3-time Flat winner (stays 1¾m). Beat a couple of next-time-out winners when successful on hurdling debut at Stratford (2m). Showcased an improvement in jumping when completing a simple task at Cartmel in August. Others have stronger form but he's open to further progress on hat-trick bid.

Class Advantage

10/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/02 · mark par10/0224/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/02 · mark par14/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above14/05 · mark par26/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/05 · mark par29/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a31/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a31/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲4
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in places) · 38Course · 0Dist: 2m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%10/02Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 100%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 38%14/05Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%29/06Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%31/08
Projected finish5th of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend
43%3-855/100
4
11/1
Pass The Buck silks

Olbg Racing (pass The Buck)

3yo Gelding · 11-0

Australia - Zofar Zogood (Zoffany)

Paul O'Brien10%0/2Harry Derham70%Synergy 39
32
6.0
Going 78Course 0
1st Blinkers +3

Fair winner of a Fairyhouse claimer (1¼m) final start for Joseph O'Brien. No match for Vietnorm on hurdling debut prior to a much-improved second to an above-average debutant at Chepstow latest. Needs more again but has previously responded well to a headgear change (wears first-time blinkers here).

Class Advantage

19/04 · C7 · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par19/048/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par10/06 · C7 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par8/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par26/09 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a10/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a10/10projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲5
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in places) · 78Course · 0Dist: 2m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 42%19/04Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 77%10/06Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 67%26/09Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 90%10/10
Projected finish6th of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength29%
ExpectedActualTrend
29%3-855/100
6
OR 107
12/1
Timely Salute silks

Mr Jeremy Hill

3yo Gelding · 11-0

Time Test - Salutare (Sadler's Wells)

Freddie Mitchell10%1/2M ComleySynergy 58
121
7.0
Going 92Course 0
Hood

Steadily progressive type. Chased home Moment Of Light (closely matched with Vietnorm) on sole hurdle defeat from 3 starts. Capitalised on large 3-y-o allowance when driven out to win on handicap debut at Market Rasen (19f) latest. Step into listed company probably a bridge too far, though.

Class Advantage

28/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/04 · mark par28/0413/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below13/05 · mark par30/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par19/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a7/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a26/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/09 · mark par26/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲4
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in places) · 92Course · 0Dist: 2m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 20%28/04Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 67%30/05Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 83%7/09Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%26/09
Projected finish7th of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength4%
ExpectedActualTrend
14%5-872/100
2
28/1
Confused silks

The Cheeky Pups

3yo Gelding · 11-0

Calyx - Lampetia (Australia)

Harry Cobden20%0/1Faye BramleySynergy 63
6
3.0
Going 53Course 0

Fairly useful winner up to 1¼m for Mrs J. Harrington. Well below that level when easy to back/given a considerate introduction to hurdling at Chepstow on stable debut. Steps up significantly in class and presumably thought capable of better by a knowledgeable operation.

Class Advantage

24/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a24/041/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a27/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par10/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a10/10projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲6
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good (Good to Firm in places) · 53Course · 0Dist: 2m · 20%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 80%24/04Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%1/06Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 25%11/07Pos 14 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 14 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 7%27/07Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 50%10/10
Projected finish8th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%8-885/100