5
A I Nation
2yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 5
Belmont Park · Race 10 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 9.4 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Gowran Park | Ben Coen | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-08-29 | Curragh | Ben Coen | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-08-09 | Curragh | Jamie Powell | ? | 11th | 13th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 3-4 · tight 73/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength73%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/2026 | 11th | 125/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 29/08/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 19/09/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 82% | +0.45 |