4
And The Runner Is
2yo Colt · 8-11 · Draw 4 · OR 86
Belmont Park · Race 10 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼2
Strength22%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: +1.9
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Belmont Park | Reylu Gutierrez | ? | 11th | 4th | +6 |
| 2026-08-23 | Saratoga | Jose Ortiz | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Saratoga | Irad Ortiz Jr | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 5-8 · tight 63/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength31%
Delivery trend -27.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 89% | +0.28 |
| 23/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/9 | 98% | 83% | -0.14 |
| 03/10/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |