9
River Of Deceit
2yo Colt · 8-11 · Draw 9 · OR 85
Belmont Park · Race 10 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
7/4
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
99%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Belmont Park | Junior Alvarado | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Saratoga | Junior Alvarado | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-06-18 | Belmont At The Big A | Junior Alvarado | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 63/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength94%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 88% | +0.03 |
| 27/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 71% | -0.19 |
| 19/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |