3
Hamilton's Way
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 3 · OR 87
Belmont Park · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f
#10
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Gulfstream | Mario Gutierrez | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-01-18 | Gulfstream | Tyler Gaffalione | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-12-11 | Aqueduct | Flavien Prat | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Aqueduct | Flavien Prat | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-10 | Belmont At The Big A | Manuel Franco | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-03 | Saratoga | Ricardo Jr Santana | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 7-10 · tight 76/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 22/06/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 24/07/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 89% | +0.01 |
| 03/08/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 63% | -0.01 |
| 10/10/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 09/11/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 11/12/2025 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 13% | -0.66 |
| 18/01/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.20 |
| 14/02/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 13% | -0.56 |