2

Moment's Notice

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 2 · OR 89

Belmont Park · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f

#4

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Aqueduct 15/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 88 · 7f 126 · below its mark15/03/2026 · OR 88 par15/03C8OR 88C8 @ Aqueduct 03/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 86 · 1m 126 · below its mark03/04/2026 · OR 86 parC8 @ Aqueduct 11/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 84 · 7f 126 · below its mark11/04/2026 · OR 84 par11/04C8OR 84C8 @ Aqueduct 26/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 86 · 1m110y Slo 126 · below its mark26/04/2026 · OR 86 parC8 @ Belmont At The Big A 14/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 85 · 7f Fas 126 · below its mark14/06/2026 · OR 85 par14/06C8OR 85C8 @ Saratoga 30/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 83 · 5f110y Slo 126 · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 83 parC7 @ Saratoga 19/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 83 · 7f 126 · below its mark19/08/2026 · OR 83 par19/08C7OR 83C7 @ Belmont Park 18/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 85 · 6f110y Fas 126 · below its mark18/09/2026 · OR 85 parC7 @ Belmont Park 04/10/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 88 · 6f Fm 126 · below its mark04/10/2026 · OR 88 par4/10C7OR 88projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-04Belmont ParkPaco Lopez?2nd2nd0
2026-09-18Belmont ParkFlavien Prat?4th4th0
2026-08-19SaratogaManuel Franco?4th4th0
2026-07-30SaratogaIrad Ortiz Jr?1st2nd−1
2026-06-14Belmont At The Big AManuel Franco?4th5th−1
2026-04-26AqueductManuel Franco?7th8th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0326/0419/084/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength87%

Delivery trend +5.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/03/20263rd1/297%33%-0.64
03/04/20263rd12/137%67%+0.30
11/04/20262nd13/266%67%+0.01
26/04/20267th4/179%14%-0.65
14/06/20264th11/486%57%-0.28
30/07/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
19/08/20264th6/168%50%-0.18
18/09/20264th8/158%73%+0.15
04/10/20262nd6/168%90%+0.22