Neigh Baby
3yo Colt · 8-11 · Draw 9 · OR 90
Belmont Park · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Belmont Park | Samuel Marin | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Saratoga | Jaime Rodriguez | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saratoga | Jaime Rodriguez | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Churchill Downs | Jose Ortiz | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Aqueduct | Jaime Rodriguez | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Aqueduct | Jaime Rodriguez | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +10.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 30/08/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 09/10/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 05/02/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 20/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 83% | -0.10 |
| 24/05/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 14/08/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 18/09/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |