10

Razorcat

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 10 · OR 75

Belmont Park · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f

#7

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength25%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Oaklawn Park 16/03/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 80 · 1m110y Fas 120 · below its mark16/03/2025 · OR 80 par16/03C9OR 80C6 @ Fair Grounds 02/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 79 · 5f110y Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/01/2026 · OR 79 parC6 @ Fair Grounds 30/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 81 · 5f110y Fm 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/01/2026 · OR 81 par30/01C6OR 81C6 @ Fair Grounds 01/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 83 · 5f110y Fm 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/03/2026 · OR 83 parC7 @ Fair Grounds 22/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 85 · 5f110y Fm 125 · beat its mark22/03/2026 · OR 85 par22/03C7OR 85C5 @ Keeneland 17/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 86 · 5f110y Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/04/2026 · OR 86 parC8 @ Churchill Downs 21/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 86 · 1m Fm 124 · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 86 par21/06C8OR 86C8 @ Monmouth Park 16/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 83 · 5f110y Fm 123 · below its mark16/08/2026 · OR 83 parC8 @ Belmont Park 11/10/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 75 · 6f110y Fas 126 · below its mark11/10/2026 · OR 75 par11/10C8OR 75projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-11Belmont ParkDylan Davis?3rd4th−1
2026-08-16Monmouth ParkMelissa Iorio?4th5th−1
2026-06-21Churchill DownsJames Graham?12th13th−1
2026-04-17KeenelandJames Graham?5th3rd+2
2026-03-22Fair GroundsJames Graham?1st1st0
2026-03-01Fair GroundsJames Graham?4th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/031/0321/0611/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 4-10 · tight 57/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength25%

Delivery trend -0.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/03/20254th8/158%63%+0.05
02/01/20262nd7/163%86%+0.23
30/01/20264th3/184%63%-0.22
01/03/20264th9/276%40%-0.36
22/03/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
17/04/20265th16/116%43%+0.27
21/06/202612th25/10%0%0.00
16/08/20264th3/184%40%-0.44
11/10/20263rd10/147%75%+0.28