Adroit
3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 4 · OR 61
Belmont Park · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 7.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Belmont Park | Rajiv Maragh | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-30 | Belmont Park | Katie Davis | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Saratoga | J C Jr Diaz | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Saratoga | Katie Davis | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-07-19 | Saratoga | Katie Davis | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-06-20 | Belmont At The Big A | Katie Davis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 19/07/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 02/08/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 07/09/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 30/09/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 10% | -0.06 |
| 09/10/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |