6
Quell
3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 6 · OR 63
Belmont Park · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Belmont Park | Christopher Elliott | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Saratoga | Jose Lezcano | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Belmont At The Big A | Dylan Davis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Aqueduct | Dalila Rivera | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 82/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +28.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |
| 22/05/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 29% | -0.50 |
| 07/09/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 09/10/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |