3
Tiffany's Gem
3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 3 · OR 50
Belmont Park · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | Belmont At The Big A | Edgard Zayas | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Aqueduct | Ricardo Jr Santana | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Aqueduct | Javier Castellano | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 47/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength22%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/04/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |