2

Buzzer Beater

2yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 2 · OR 64

Belmont Park · Race 4 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 6f 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Saratoga 03/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m110y Gd 1233/09C7C7 @ Belmont Park 03/10/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 71 · 6f 123 · below its mark03/10/2026 · OR 71 par3/10C7OR 71projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-03Belmont ParkManuel Franco?5th5th0
2026-09-03SaratogaManuel Franco?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/093/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 6-6 · tight 71/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength29%

Delivery trend -21.2% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/09/20265th9/153%64%+0.11
03/10/20265th13/266%56%-0.10