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7

Grayosh

5yo Mare · 9-0 · Draw 7 · OR 104

Belmont Park · Race 6 - Athenia Stakes · 1m 1f

#1

Rank

Odds

7/4

Win Prob

57%

Place Prob

40%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▼3
Strength100%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC1 @ Monmouth Park 19/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 107 · 1m1f Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/07/2025 · OR 107 par19/07C1OR 107C5 @ Kentucky Downs 04/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 98 · 1m70y 126 · below its mark04/09/2025 · OR 98 parC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 02/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 102 · 1m110y Fm 122 · below its mark02/10/2025 · OR 102 par2/10C6OR 102C1 @ Aqueduct 08/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 100 · 1m3f Fm 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/11/2025 · OR 100 parC6 @ Aqueduct 24/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 108 · 1m Fm 121 · beat its mark24/04/2026 · OR 108 par24/04C6OR 108C1 @ Monmouth Park 13/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 110 · 1m110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 110 parC1 @ Monmouth Park 18/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 108 · 1m1f Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 108 par18/07C1OR 108C0 @ Saratoga 22/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 103 · 1m110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 103 parC5 @ Laurel Park 26/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 105 · 1m1f Gd 124 · below its mark26/09/2026 · OR 105 par26/09C5OR 105projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-26Laurel ParkJorge Ruiz?3rd3rd0
2026-08-22SaratogaTyler Gaffalione?4th-1th+4
2026-07-18Monmouth ParkTyler Gaffalione?1st-4th+4
2026-06-13Monmouth ParkTyler Gaffalione?3rd-2th+4
2026-04-24AqueductDylan Davis?1st2nd−1
2025-11-08AqueductFlavien Prat?4th-1th+4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/078/1118/0726/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 74/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength89%

Delivery trend +1.2% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/07/20253rd15/261%67%+0.06
04/09/20254th4/179%50%-0.29
02/10/20254th6/492%57%-0.35
08/11/20254th5/287%67%-0.20
24/04/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
13/06/20263rd15/261%60%-0.01
18/07/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
22/08/20264th9/153%50%-0.03
26/09/20263rd4/696%60%-0.36