4
Starship Athena
4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 4 · OR 91
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Athenia Stakes · 1m 1f
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Delaware Park | Daniel Centeno | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Saratoga | Junior Alvarado | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Belmont At The Big A | Javier Castellano | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-06-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | Adam Beschizza | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-04-07 | Keeneland | Joseph Ramos | ? | 9th | 11th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +13.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 03/06/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 15/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 06/06/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 30% | +0.14 |
| 12/09/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |