1
Rufus The Red
2yo Colt · 8-11 · Draw 1 · OR 74
Belmont Park · Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Saratoga | Ricardo Jr Santana | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Saratoga | Irad Ortiz Jr | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 6-6 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength36%
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 45% | -0.31 |
| 03/09/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 44% | -0.29 |