First Call Bob
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 8 · OR 88
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Starter Allowance · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Belmont Park | A Fresu | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-08-27 | Saratoga | Ricardo Jr Santana | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-31 | Saratoga | Tyler Gaffalione | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Saratoga | Jose Ortiz | ? | 12th | 10th | +2 |
| 2026-04-25 | Aqueduct | Flavien Prat | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-03-14 | Gulfstream | Tyler Gaffalione | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 14/03/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 25/04/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 07/06/2026 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 31/07/2026 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 27/08/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 16/10/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |