Freaky
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 1 · OR 91
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Starter Allowance · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Belmont Park | Dylan Davis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Saratoga | Dylan Davis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Saratoga | Dylan Davis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Belmont At The Big A | Kendrick Carmouche | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Belmont At The Big A | Jose Lezcano | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Gulfstream | Samy Camacho | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 17/01/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 14/02/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 38% | -0.31 |
| 05/04/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 12/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 18/09/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.34 |