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6

Holding Power

3yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 6 · OR 64

Belmont Park · Race 8 - Starter Allowance · 1m

#9

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 05/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 6f110y 121 · HIGHER CLASS5/06C6C9 @ Saratoga 06/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 37 · 6f110y Fas 123 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 37 par6/09C9OR 37C9 @ Belmont Park 30/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 55 · 7f Fas 123 · beat its mark30/09/2026 · OR 55 par30/09C9OR 55projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-30Belmont ParkRicardo Jr Santana?1st3rd−2
2026-09-06SaratogaDylan Davis?6th8th−2
2026-06-05SaratogaJaime Rodriguez?10th9th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/066/0930/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 6-7 · tight 73/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength39%

Delivery trend +13.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/06/202610th25/10%0%0.00
06/09/20266th14/126%38%+0.11
30/09/20261st5/174%100%+0.26