7

Into The Light

3yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 7 · OR 86

Belmont Park · Race 8 - Starter Allowance · 1m

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength22%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Delaware Park 15/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 5f110y 119 · HIGHER CLASS15/08C6C6 @ Aqueduct 11/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 62 · 6f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/02/2026 · OR 62 par11/02C6OR 62C6 @ Aqueduct 10/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 59 · 1m 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/04/2026 · OR 59 par10/04C6OR 59C9 @ Belmont At The Big A 23/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 65 · 6f 121 · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 65 par23/05C9OR 65C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 19/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 73 · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 73 par19/06C6OR 73C7 @ Saratoga 16/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 81 · 1m Fas 123 · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 81 par16/07C7OR 81C7 @ Saratoga 14/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 86 · 1m 123 · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 86 par14/08C7OR 86projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-14SaratogaDylan Davis?2nd2nd0
2026-07-16SaratogaDylan Davis?2nd2nd0
2026-06-19Belmont At The Big ADylan Davis?1st0th+1
2026-05-23Belmont At The Big AChristopher Elliott?2nd4th−2
2026-04-10AqueductRuben Silvera?7th6th+1
2026-02-11AqueductJaime Rodriguez?7th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0823/0514/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 56/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength89%

Delivery trend +7.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/08/20254th11/486%25%-0.61
11/02/20267th20/10%14%+0.14
10/04/20267th25/10%14%+0.14
23/05/20262nd10/147%80%+0.33
19/06/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
16/07/20262nd5/174%83%+0.10
14/08/20262nd11/486%80%-0.06