Salvation
4yo Colt · 9-0 · Draw 3 · OR 88
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Starter Allowance · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
98%
Place Prob
78%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Belmont Park | Ricardo Jr Santana | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-08-23 | Saratoga | Jose Lezcano | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2025-12-28 | Aqueduct | Jose Lezcano | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Belmont At The Big A | Katie Davis | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-10-03 | Belmont At The Big A | Jose Lezcano | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-07-27 | Saratoga | Dylan Davis | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/2024 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |
| 03/10/2024 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |
| 07/11/2024 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 27/07/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 03/10/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 01/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 28/12/2025 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 23/08/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 08/10/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |