Sequential
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 2 · OR 79
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Starter Allowance · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Belmont Park | Flavien Prat | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Saratoga | Dylan Davis | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Saratoga | Edgard Zayas | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Belmont At The Big A | Edgard Zayas | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-23 | Aqueduct | Dylan Davis | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-13 | Aqueduct | Jose Lezcano | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/12/2025 | 2nd | 4/9 | 98% | 80% | -0.18 |
| 09/01/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 19/02/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 13/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 23/04/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 17/05/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 04/06/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 27/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 08/10/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |